Regional prices show Texas and Kansas fed cattle prices declining less last week than prices paid in Nebraska. This suggests finished cattle supplies in Nebraska/Iowa have become a bit more plentiful compared to recent weeks. The quality grade trend in the north indicates the same, with an increasing Nebraska Choice and Prime grade. The frighteningly steep rise in corn prices finally took a step
back this Monday as widespread rain in the corn belt generated the expected lowering in CME Corn futures prices. Even so, current feedyard cost of gain calculations create heart-stopping reactions for feedyards looking at values well above live cattle prices in a pound-for-pound comparison. The spot boxed beef market has continued on a blistering pace with the Choice cutout over $3.00/lb. and the CAB cutout averaging near $3.20/lb. With the exception of May 2020, current price levels are historically high. Records high prices were set last week for ribeyes, briskets, tenderloins, sirloin flap, tri tips, outside skirts and flanks. Teres majors and chuck flaps also
hit 52-week highs. Loins accounted for a huge portion of cutout gains last week accounting for 40% of the total, with ribs accounting for 14%. Foodservice and retail demand have both been very strong across the board. May is "Beef Month" for good reason, with Memorial Day and Father’s Day just ahead on the calendar. Consumers are itching to get outside to do some grilling and demand will be spurred on these factors. Analysts and beef buyers had predicted that record high prices would tumble on resistance through sticker shock. This has yet to happen, and logic says that larger supplies will be necessary to loosen up spot market boxed beef availability. The trade is looking for a 660K+ harvest total this week with hopes of many more weeks at that level through June.
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